Heart of the Matter

Bytemobile Blog

Archive for September, 2008

Can Fixed Line Operators Survive?

Thursday, September 25th, 2008

The current trend in Europe is for mobile operators to become internet service providers (ISP).  Recently, an Austrian operator told me that this year it has sold more ISP connections than mobile connections.  In Sweden, mobile broadband is being offered at a price similar to that of fixed broadband, suggesting that Austria is not unique.

Can Fixed Line Operators Survive?

Over the last decade, mobile operators have slowly but surely eroded the hold that fixed operators have had on the consumer.  First, it was voice, and now it seems the same is happening for the Internet — witness the exponential rise in the popularity of the USB dongle.  The attraction for the user is obvious: one relationship for all services, no installation charges and the ability to be truly mobile.  Today, many operators offer a free laptop in exchange for an 18-month commitment.  How can you lose?

How will fixed line operators respond to this threat?  They have already made their network investments, so all they need to do now is utilize their assets.  With multimedia rapidly becoming a pervasive force, network capacity and effective bandwidth will be critical factors.  In such circumstances, won’t the fixed line operator have the upper hand?

I’m not so sure.  Mobility is a key criterion.  Freedom is something that users will always want; once they have it, they will never give it up.  For the vast majority of consumers, mobile networks will impose no bandwidth restrictions.  Operators are constantly investing in their networks.  Thanks to data optimization and media transcoding, most users will be hard-pressed to discern the difference between a fixed network and a mobile network — nor will they even care.  For mobile operators, there is also an effective one-to-one brand relationship with end users.  Thus, they can deliver a truly personalized and relevant consumer service across an entire portfolio of offerings — something that fixed line operators will find difficult if not impossible to match.

Infrastructure providers offering service delivery platforms to the consumer will turn up the heat on the ISP market.  When that happens, we should all expect some dramatic changes in the road ahead.

- Graham Carey

Counting Eyeballs

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

I go to the gym every day for an hour and a half. Some say I’m crazy, but I think of myself as a “heavy user”. Thankfully, there aren’t too many like me. Otherwise, the gym owner would go out of business, as her model is to oversell memberships under the assumption that only a small percentage of users will actually utilize the gym’s services.

Oversell data plans

This is also the model of the wireless carriers when they sell unlimited (“all-you-can-eat”) data plans. It still works because the mobile browsing experience is… well, less than ideal. Apple has started to change this with the iPhone. In some European countries, a small percentage of iPhone users generate as much traffic on the network as all the other smartphone and feature phone users combined. This is because iPhone users are using the device like a laptop – they browse wherever their mind takes them, unlike users of less capable phones which are browsing only specific sites. Similarly, a small percentage of laptop users with wireless USB dongles and PCMCIA cards generate 90-95% of the traffic of major carriers. What do you think the impact of millions of iPhone and iPhone-like users is going to be? Thankfully, Bytemobile optimization solutions allow carriers to manage their investment in denser network coverage, but this is only a cost control measure.

Every business owner knows that cost control is not enough. It must be supported with solid top-line growth. Even gym owners have found incremental revenue opportunities in clothing items, power bars, personal training classes, day-care facilities, and towel services. Every gas station owner knows that almost 50% of the station’s revenue comes from the convenience store rather than the gas pumps. In the telecommunications business, these incremental revenue opportunities come from “value-added services”.  The wireless carriers figured this out long ago. They all sell ringtones, logos, games, and other items on their portal sites.

The problem is that iPhone and smartphone users not only browse more, but they also browse differently. As indicated earlier, they browse wherever their mind takes them. Now, that presents a much bigger challenge to wireless carriers, as they need to control not only the iPhone device itself, but also the mind of the iPhone user. Maybe “mind control” is a bit much, but how would you characterize an internet business model that is based solely on influencing users via search results, advertisements and peer pressure (a.k.a. social networking)? As the wireless user accesses the World Wide Web and leaves the mobile portal behind, he/she is exposed to the influence of internet giants like Google, which has figured out how to turn the power of influence into a cash machine. How can the wireless service provider gain back the user’s mindshare? This, my friends, is the multi-billion-dollar question.

There is hope. The wireless carriers sit on the link between users and content. In fact, they are the link. If they don’t like the content available to their users, they can block it or slow it down. There are obviously legal questions here, but some carriers are so concerned about P2P (peer-to-peer) traffic that they have taken their battle to court. They can cap unlimited data plans. It’s clearly an oxymoron, but nevertheless they can do that. However, these are all cost control measures. What about mindshare? Well, if you think about it, the path to the mind is through the eye. This is why value on the Internet is measured in “eyeballs”. Wherever you browse in the maze of the World Wide Web, your eye will find information in the form of subtle and not-so-subtle advertisements. As the gatekeepers of the Internet, the wireless carriers are vey much in a position to capture eyeballs by overlaying advertisements and other information on every website you visit, whether it is on or off the carrier’s portal.

Intrusive? Not necessarily. Unlike most of the sites that you browse, which bombard you with ads or force you to watch a 15-second pre-roll video, the carrier can provide you with relevant, useful and timely information that actually enhances your browsing experience. The carrier knows your mobile device, it knows where you are, it knows what all the other users are doing on the network, it knows what is popular on the wireless Internet, and it knows exactly what you’ve been searching on Google lately. This is not an invasion of privacy – it is simply the reality of being the access provider. With Bytemobile Web Fidelity Service, carriers can harness the power of influence in an intelligent way that adds value not just for themselves, but also for you, the end user.

- Joel Brand

Bytemobile Chairman on Fox Business News

Friday, September 19th, 2008

On September 19, Bytemobile Executive Chairman Hatim Tyabji was interviewed on Fox Business News regarding the impact of turmoil in the financial markets on Silicon Valley technology companies.

Tyabji will also speak at the Forbes Business Visionaries Innovation Roundtable in San Francisco on Tuesday, September 23.  He will participate in a panel on innovation with John Kao, author of Innovation Nation and an internationally noted authority on corporate innovation, and Elizabeth Altman, co-author of the The Innovator’s Guide to Growth and vice president of Strategy and Business Development for Mobile Devices at Motorola.  The panel will be moderated by Rich Karlgaard, publisher of Forbes.

- Tod Bottari

Mobile Opportunities in the World’s Sixth Largest Country

Friday, September 19th, 2008

Bytemobile has reinforced its presence in Australia, New Zealand and Oceania with a new sales team.
Renato Trentin has joined Bytemobile as regional sales director.  His view of the market: “With the introduction of 3G networks, easy-to-use smartphones, and consumers’ thirst for rich media, Australian mobile data usage continues to grow beyond expectations.  In fact, this growth has gone well beyond the early adopters and is now entering the PC user community.  User-generated content and social networking services on mobile devices will continue to grow throughout this community.”

Luke Anderson has joined Bytemobile as sales engineering manager.  He states: “The mobile entertainment industry in Australia is growing at phenomenal rates.  Mobile devices are evolving to satisfy increasing consumer demand, and operators are responding with the launch of networks to provide fast, always-on access to the open Internet.  This market environment provides an exciting landscape for Bytemobile, as we empower the next generation of mobile computing and unleash the true power of the mobile Internet.”

ANZ Market Data
According to various industry sources, Australia has a wireless penetration rate of 100.8%.

Australia has a wireless penetration rate of 100.8%.

In Australia, data ARPU is increasing as consumers substitute voice calls with text messages and web searches.  MarketWatch.com states that the level of wireless penetration in Australia will continue to increase, reaching 109.3% in 2010.  It also believes that Hutchison will remain the growth story in Australia’s mobile space.  Per MarketWatch.com, the country’s largest operator, Telstra, will continue to enjoy the highest level of profitability in the operator space with 42.9% EBITDA margin in 2010, despite aggressive mobile broadband offerings from other carriers.  Optus Australia announced earlier this year that its 3G coverage has reached 85% of the total population.

The Australian Mobile Phone Lifestyle Index (August 2008) offers interesting insights on the usage, behavior and preferences of mobile phone users in Australia.

- Jaishree Subramania

  • Recent Posts

  • Twitter Updates

  • Categories

  • Archives

  • Tags